Saskatoon new home prices up from July but down from August of last year

Statistics Canada’s new housing price index for August 2009 shows modest increases of just 0.1% from July to August in Saskatoon, and across the nation. On a year-over-year basis, the price of a new home in Canada fell 3.1% in August when compared to the same month last year. The decrease in the cost to build was more than twice that in Saskatoon, or 7.6% lower than it was a year ago, while new home prices grew 1.8% in Regina.

New house prices took their greatest tumble in Edmonton where the cost to build a new home fell 11.4% from last year. Victoria followed at -10%. Vancouver was down 7.8%. Calgary was off by 6.3%.  St. John’s led on the plus side showing increases of 7.5%.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Follow our daily updates on Twitter @Norm_Fisher.

Norm Fisher
Royal LePage Saskatoon Real Estate

Saskatoon new and resale house prices to slide in 2009, rebound in 2010: CMHC

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) released their Spring Housing Market Outlook for the Saskatoon CMA today. Here’s the gist of it.

After the strongest two-year performance since the late 1970’s, Saskatoon single-detached housing starts will decline to 600 units in 2009 and bounce back to 725 units in 2010. The 2009 singles forecast represents the lowest number of housing starts since 2001 when 542 single starts took place.

Statistics Canada’s New House Price Index (NHPI) measures the increase in the price of a house where the detailed specifications pertaining to each house remain the same between two consecutive periods. Given the decline in production, we forecast a 6.6 per cent decline in the NHPI in 2009. Next year will see a partial recovery of these losses with growth of three per cent.

Saskatoon resales will continue to slow in 2009, slipping 15.3 per cent to 3,000 sales. Sales were last at this level in 2004 when 2,999 resales took place. Price reductions should contribute to a rebound in 2010 with sales of 3,150 units, a five per cent increase over the 2009 figure. Slower in-migration and a cooler economy combined with elevated housing prices have dampened demand and restrained sales from the historically high levels seen in 2005 to 2008. MLS® sales peaked in 2007 with 4,446 resales recorded.

Seasonally adjusted monthly sales are trending downward, but the severity of the decline has eased in recent months. In June 2008, the monthly trend was down close to five per cent compared to the previous month while seasonally adjusted sales were down by only one per cent from February to March 2009.

By the end of the first quarter, year-to-date new listings were up 16 per cent from last year at that time. March seasonally adjusted new listings were down 0.8 per cent from February 2009. March marked the sixth month-over-month decline in seasonally adjusted new listings activity. This suggests the new listings trend has peaked.

A slower decline in the number of sales and lower new listings have not yet worked their way into the inventory of homes for sale on the MLS® service. In March, there were 2,399 active listings, more than double the 2008 March figure. Seasonally adjusted active listings increased by 4.8 per cent compared to the previous month and reached the highest level on record in March.

Our forecast calls for average price to slip to $275,000 in 2009, a 4.4 per cent decline from the 2008 annual figure. Historically high active listings and buyer resistance to higher prices will result in the 2009 fall off in average price. There will be a modest increase of close to two per cent in 2010, bringing the aver-age price to the $280,000 mark. The firmer market expected in 2010 will allow modest price gains.

The full report is here.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Follow our daily updates on Twitter @Norm_Fisher.
Norm Fisher
Royal LePage Saskatoon Real Estate

Saskatchewan economy underperforms on expectations

Statistics Canada released its Gross Domestic Product numbers yesterday which show that the Saskatchewan economy underperformed on expectations and forecasts of RBC Economics, CMHC, and the Conference Board of Canada, all of which estimated higher growth of between 4% and 4.8% for Saskatchewan in 2007.


According to the report, Saskatchewan’s economy grew by 2.8% through 2007, just a smidge higher than the national average of 2.7% and well below the other western provinces, which saw growth ranging from 3.1% to 3.3%.


Doug Elliot of Sasktrends Monitor told the Star Phoenix that Statistics Canada’s numbers are a more accurate reflection of the provincial economy than those of private sector economists.


“I think the Conference Board (of Canada) and all of the bank (economists) have been overstating the strength of Saskatchewan’s economy.


“We’re doing fairly well, but we’re not this powerhouse that everybody seems to think we are.”


Hmmmm?


Read the Star Phoenix coverage here.

Read the StatsCan report here.


I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Follow our daily updates on Twitter @SaskatoonHomes.

Norm Fisher
Royal LePage Saskatoon Real Estate

Saskatchewan income growth: the good news and the bad news

Statistics Canada’s latest income report contains some good news for the province. Saskatchewan led the country for overall income growth seeing average weekly earnings increase by 5.4%, compared to the 3.1% growth experienced nationally. Average weekly earnings in the province rose to $742.62 in December of 2007, from $704.79 in December of 2006. Saskatchewan also saw one of the largest decreases in Employment Insurance recipients.


If you’re looking for the negative nugget in this story, you could point to the fact that average weekly incomes in Saskatchewan still lag behind the national average of $782.02 and well below Alberta, the province we seem desperate to become where the average weekly income is $860.31.


Hopefully with the momentum that Saskatchewan seems to have 2008 will be the year that incomes catch up with the rest of the country.


Read the Star Phoenix coverage here

Read the StatsCan report here

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Follow our daily updates on Twitter @SaskatoonHomes.

Norm Fisher
Royal LePage Saskatoon Real Estate

Saskatoon leads nation for increases in new house prices in 2007

Saskatoon leads nation for increases in new housing prices in 2007The cost of building a new home in Canada increased 6.2%, year over year, according to the New House Price Index Report (no longer available) released today by Statistics Canada.

“Regionally, prices again rose at the fastest pace in Saskatoon, which led the nation with an annual price increase of 45.1%. On a month-over-month basis, housing prices rose 1.0% between November and December in Saskatoon. A number of factors were behind the gain, including increased costs for concrete and drywall, as well as higher land development costs reported by some builders,” says the Statscan report.


Windsor, where the cost to build a new home decreased by 1.1% from December 2006 was the only Canadian market to experience a decline over the last year.

Price increases across Canada came in as follows:


Regina – 25.9%

Calgary – 6%

Edmonton – 21.5%

Winnipeg – 15%

Vancouver – 6.4%

Victoria – 1.6%

Toronto – 3.4%

Thunder Bay – 5.9%

London – 3.1%

Hamilton – 2.8%

St. Catherines-Niagara – .3%

Montreal – 4.1%

Halifax – 10.4%

St. John’s – 7.9%


Thanks to Jedi who posted this link to the CBC coverage.

Thanks also to St. John’s blogger Stephen Winters for sending me this link to the Globe’s coverage.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Follow our daily updates on Twitter @SaskatoonHomes.

Norm Fisher
Royal LePage Saskatoon Real Estate