Canadian homes sales post weakest annual numbers since 2012: CREA

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), released national sales statistics for December of 2018 today.

According to the report, “Home sales via Canadian MLS® Systems fell by 2.5% in December 2018 compared to November, capping the weakest annual sales since 2012. Monthly declines in activity since September have fully retrenched its summer rally and returned it near the lowest level since early 2013.”

“Transactions declined in about 60% of all local markets in December, led by lower activity in Greater Vancouver, Vancouver Island, Ottawa, London & St. Thomas, and Halifax-Dartmouth, together with a regionally diverse mix of other large and medium-sized urban centres.”

Highlights of CREA’s report

  • National home sales fell 2.5% from November to December.
  • Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity was down by 19% from one year ago.
  • The number of newly listed homes was little changed from November to December.
  • The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) was up 1.6% year-over-year (y-o-y) in December.
  • The national average sale price fell by 4.9% y-o-y in December.

Read the entire report on Canadian MLS® sales for December of 2018.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Norm Fisher

Royal LePage Vidorra

Saskatoon home sales fall five percent in 2018: SRAR

December home sales through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS®) totalled 164 in Saskatoon, 20 percent fewer than were sold in December of 2017. The region surrounding Saskatoon had 43 MLS® sales in December of 2018, down just one from the same period last year. The total number of residential sales for 2018 in Saskatoon was 3,329, a five percent decline compared to the previous year. 2018 is the fourth straight year of declining Saskatoon home sales. By comparison, there were 4,417 MLS® homes that traded hands in 2014, a peak sales year for Saskatoon. There was no change in the total annual sales for the surrounding region with 986 residential MLS® transactions recorded.

The total dollar volume for MLS® residential sales in Saskatoon in December was $55.6 million, down 20 percent from December of 2017. The total dollar volume for the entire year reached $1.108 billion, down eight percent from 2017. The combined dollar volume for Saskatoon and region last year was down four percent for the year at $1.524 billion.

Residential MLS® listing totals for the year were also lower than previous years. 7,956 residential listings were recorded for Saskatoon in 2018. This is an 11 percent reduction from 2017’s total of 8,969. The five-year average for new listings in Saskatoon is 9,081 per year.

“Even though sales are down, having fewer new listings has helped,” comments Jason Yochim, CEO of the Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS® (SRAR). Active listings fell to 1,487 by the end of the year. This is consistent with the five-year average of 1,480 available properties and well below peak listing numbers seen in July of 2017 when there were 2,210 homes for sale in the city of Saskatoon. “Available properties will vary depending on the neighbourhood, price range and style,” cautions Yochim. “Some price ranges still have a good supply to choose from while others do not.”

When it comes to home price trends, the best indicator of what is happening with home prices is the MLS® Home Price Index. The Home Price Index establishes attributes for a typical single-family home with a base value in 2005. From that starting point, changes in value are recorded over time to get a better sense of where prices may be trending. The value for the typical single-family home when the index began in January of 2005 was $140,400. This value reached its peak in May of 2015 at $329,500. At the end of December, it had slipped to $307,000, down from $310,900 a month earlier. December’s number is virtually unchanged from a year ago, however, it had been trending downward since the middle of 2018.

For further information, please contact:

Jason Yochim CAE, CRAE
Chief Executive Officer – Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS®

Canadian home sales decline again in November 2018: CREA

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), released national sales statistics for November of 2018 this week.

According to the report, “Home sales via Canadian MLS® Systems fell by 2.3% in November 2018, adding to the decline in October of 1.7%. While the number of homes trading hands is still up from its low point in the spring, it remains below monthly levels posted from 2014 through 2017.

“Transactions declined in just over half of all local markets, with lower activity in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), the Greater Vancouver Area (GVA) and Hamilton- Burlington offsetting increased sales in Edmonton.”

Highlights of CREA’s report

  • National home sales fell 2.3% from October to November.
  • Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity was down by 12.6% from one year ago.
  • The number of newly listed homes declined by 3.3% from October to November.
  • The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) was up 2% year-over-year (y-o-y) in November.
  • The national average sale price retreated by 2.9% y-o-y in November.

Read the entire report on Canadian MLS® sales for November of 2018.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Norm Fisher

Royal LePage Vidorra

Home Sales Soften in November, 2018: SRAR

Saskatoon home sales through the Multiple Listing Service (MLS®) totalled 203 units in November, a 22 percent decline compared to the same month last year. By the end of last month, a total of 3,167 Saskatoon home sales had been recorded year-to-date, down 25% from the highs of 2014, and the lowest year-to-date sales number in ten years. 

New residential MLS® listings have also been declining since 2015 when there were 9,411 Saskatoon homes listed by the end of November. This year, that number sits at 7,646 over the same period, a 12 percent decline from last year and down 19 percent from 2015.

Total active residential listings fell to 1716 as November closed, comparable to the five-year average and slightly higher than the 10-year average of 1,388. At the current rate of sales, it would take just over 8 months to liquidate the current active listing inventory. “The months of inventory has been steadily increasing from 3.8 months in November of 2012,” comments Jason Yochim, CEO of the Saskatoon Region Association of REALTORS® (SRAR).

“Even though homes were selling at 96.2% of the asking price in November, it still took two months for the average Saskatoon home to sell,” he added. The sale to new listing ratio is a useful measure to determine if it is a seller’s market or a buyer’s market. It is considered to be a balanced market when the ratio is at 50 percent (half as many sales as listings). Lower percentages identify a buyer’s market and higher percentages indicate a seller’s market. The sales to listing ratio in Saskatoon for November was 38 percent.

Typically, when discussing home prices, the focus is on the average price. The average can be misleading and is easily skewed. If there are more high-end homes that sell over a defined period, and fewer over another, the two periods can produce substantially different averages even if values are largely stable. For instance, the average sale price in November was $343,361. That’s up from $325,016 in October. No reasonable analysis would suggest that home values are up five percent in a month. The Home Price Index (HPI) provides a better indicator of what is happening with home prices. The HPI tracks value changes over time for well-defined benchmark homes. The value for the benchmark single-family home was at $310,900 in November. The measure has been modestly trending upwards all year, showing rare year-over-year gains over October and November.

“It’s important to remember that even in a buyer’s market sellers can be successful in realizing a sale on their home,” advises Yochim. “The most important step in selling is pricing to the current market conditions.”

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions. All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Norm Fisher

Royal LePage Vidorra

Canadian home sales activity slows in October, 2018: CREA

The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), released national sales statistics for October of 2018 today.

According to the report, “Home sales via Canadian MLS® Systems edged back by 1.6% in October 2018. While activity is still stronger compared to the first half of 2018, it remains below monthly levels recorded from early 2014 through 2017.

“Transactions declined in more than half of all local markets, led by Hamilton-Burlington, Montreal and Edmonton. Although activity did improve modestly in many markets, it was offset by a decline in sales elsewhere by a factor of two.”

Highlights of CREA’s report

  • National home sales fell 1.6% from September to October.
  • Actual (not seasonally adjusted) activity was down by 3.7% from one year ago.
  • The number of newly listed homes eased 1.1% from September to October.
  • The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) was up 2.3% year-over-year (y-o-y) in October.
  • The national average sale price slipped by 1.5% y-o-y in October.

Read the entire report on Canadian MLS® sales for October of 2018.

I’m always happy to answer your Saskatoon real estate questions.  All of my contact info is here. Please feel free to call or email.

Norm Fisher

Royal LePage Vidorra